【代表性研究成果】
期刊论文:
Abel, G.J. and Sander, N. (2014). Quantifying global international migration flows. Science. 343 (6178) 1520–1522.
Abel, G.J., Bijak, J., Forster, J.J., Raymer J. and Smith P.W.F. (2013). Integrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model. Demographic Research, 29 (43) 1187–1226.
Abel, G.J., Bijak, J., Findlay, A.M., McCollum, D. and Wi´sniowski, A. (2013). Forecasting environmental migration to the United Kingdom: An exploration using Bayesian models. Population and Environment, 35 (2) 183–203.
Abel, G.J. (2013) Estimating Global Migration Flow Tables Using Place of Birth Data. Demographic Research, 28 (18) 505–546.
Raymer J., Abel, G.J. and Rogers, A. (2012) Does specification matter? experiments with simple multiregional probabilistic population projections. Environment and Planning A, 44 (11) 2664–2686.
Abel, G.J. (2010) Estimation of international migration flow tables in Europe. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society), 173 (4) 797–825.
Abel, G.J., Bijak, J. and Raymer J. (2010). A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales. Population Trends, 141 95–114.
Raymer J., Abel G.J. and Smith P.W.F. (2007) Combining census and registration data to estimate detailed elderly migration flows in England and Wales. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society), 170 (4) 891–908